Aspinall vs. Gane odds, predictions, and best bets

the UFC It goes international this weekend with a stacked 14-fight card live from Abu Dhabi.

UFC 321 is headlined by a big fight for the undisputed heavyweight title between reigning champion Tom Aspinall and his challenger Cyril Jean.

Fight fans, be sure to set your alarms on Saturday morning, as the prelims begin at 10 a.m. ET on ESPN+.

The main event is set for 2pm ET, and the Aspinall-Gane trails are scheduled for 4:30pm ET.

Let’s dive into some main and main event analysis, followed by full card predictions for UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane.

UFC 321 predictions

Tom Aspinall (-345, Kings Project) vs. Cyril Jean (+275, Kings Project)

Aspinall (15-3) is stepping into the octagon for the first time in 2025, much to the dismay of many fight fans, and it won’t be a huge fight against Jon “Bones” Jones.

Instead, he will face top contender Jin (13-2) to close out the card.

Gane has been thrust back into the headlines, as he is 0-2 in his last two major title fights. His last shot at the title ended in horrific fashion, as he lost to Jones via submission in the first round.

Look, every fighter has a chance to strike, and Gene is not a record holder, but this is a disappointing matchup considering Aspinall-Jones’ potential.

Aspinall is on a three-fight winning streak, avenging his loss to Curtis Blaydes via the first round last July, to re-establish himself as the top dog in the division.

With an impressive 14 first-round finishes on his resume, it’s safe to assume this one won’t be over, and the oddsmakers agree. Now it is -800 FanDuel So it doesn’t go the full five rounds.

I’ll give Jane a round, but with Aspinall’s 67 percent hit accuracy and 4.09 knockout rate, this round would be over in the blink of an eye in the second round.

Aspinall is likely to patiently come out in the early parts of the fight getting to know Jane, but he will unleash a flurry in the second round to finish things off. I’m confident Aspinall will knock him out in a second.

Selection: Fight Parlays (winning combination) Tom Aspinall by KO, TKO or DQ – Round 2 (+510, BetRivers)

Virna Jandiroba (+124, Kings Project) vs. Mackenzie Dern (-148, Kings Project)

A rematch between two of the top 5 talents in the division, this time, the vacant women’s strawweight title will be on the line.

Jandiroba (22-3) and Dern (15-5) faced off again in 2020, with Dern emerging victorious via unanimous decision. It was a high-paced, punch-filled encounter, but Dern was able to outmaneuver Jandiroba and keep her ground game at bay.

However, since this fight, Jandiroba has gone 6-1, facing significantly better competition, while Dern has a pedestrian record of 5-4.

Both fighters rely on their grappling, with Jandiroba averaging 4.5 takedowns per 15 minutes, and they have combined for 22 submission wins combined.

This is a difficult decision, given that Jandiroba is on a five-game winning streak. Dern has had back-to-back wins of her own, most recently defeating Amanda Ribas in January.

I’ll give the slight edge to Deren and rely on her solid defense to get the better of Jandiroba again. In what will be a close and closely contested fight, I will take Dern to the decision win.

The pick: Dern to win by decision (+250, Kings Project)

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UFC 321 picks up the full card

Main card

Tom Aspinall vs. Cyril Jean: Tom Aspinall by knockout, TKO or DQ – Round 2 (+510, BetRivers)

Virna Jandiroba vs Mackenzie Dern: Dern wins by decision (+250, Kings Project)

Omar Nurmagomedov vs. Mario Bautista: Nurmagomedov In points (-145, FanDuel)

Alexander Volkov vs. Jelton Almeida: Almeida wins by submission or decision (-110, Kings Project)

Aleksandar Rakic ​​vs. Azamat Merzkanov: Merzkanov Moneyline (-110, bet365)

Preliminaries

Nosrat Haqparast vs. Koylan Salkeld: Haqparast wins by decision (+185, DraftKings)

Ikram Aliskerov vs. Jun Young Park: Aliskerov by KO/TKO or on points (-145, FanDuel)

Ludovit Klein vs. Matthews Rebecca: The fight will end with points (-120, FanDuel)

Abdulkarim Al-Selwadi vs Matthews Camilo: How Al-Salwadi won by decision/technical decision (+250, BetMGM)

Walter Walker vs. Louie Sutherland: Walker wins via first-round submission (+275, DraftKings)

Nathaniel Wood vs. Jose Miguel Delgado: Total rounds under 2.5 (-115, DraftKings)

Hamdy Abdelwahab vs. Chris Barnett: Fighting doesn’t go far (-170, DraftKings)

Izzat Maxum vs. Mitch Raposo: Maximum by decision or submission (-190, bet365)

Jacqueline Amorim vs. Mizuki Inoue: Amorim wins by submission in the first round (+380, FanDuel)

Why trust the New York Post to bet

Mike Turay is a sports journalist and editor who closely follows the NBA, NFL, college sports and UFC. He has demonstrated his experience in both NBA and NFL player prop bets for nearly three years. Mike also has extensive experience in the sports betting offering, frequently testing and reviewing the latest apps and sites.